Spreadsheet to calculate GME Exit Strategy, ROI Calculations & Breakeven Analysis

PLEASE LEAVE AN UPVOTE AND/OR COMMENT IF YOU USE. IT TOOK ME A FEW HOURS TO MAKE THIS SPREADSHEET AND I WOULD LIKE TO HELP AS MANY PEOPLE AS POSSIBLE. I SEE A LOT OF PEOPLE OPENING AND DUPLICATING THE SHEET, PLEASE HELP PAY IT FORWARD.

Disclaimer: I originally created this tool for WSB, but it looks like I am muted there for some reason, so I figured I would share on some other subs where people are also talking about GME.

This whole experience has been (and will be) a crazy trip, but you don't want to be the one caught holding the bag when it eventually comes crashing down to earth. HAVE AN EXIT STRATEGY. Everyone has different levels of expendable capital and risk tolerance. Some of us can afford to YOLO away six-figure investments, while others would be more than happy to simply turn a few hundred dollars into a grand.

Your exit strategy should depend on how much money you are comfortable losing, and how much profits you would be happy taking. I'm not here to tell you what your strategy should be, but I did make a tool so you can figure it out for yourself: Exit Strategy Calculator (Google Sheet)

HOW TO USE THE EXIT STRATEGY PLANNER

- Note 1: This is for shares only. I'm not smart enough to make this work for options.

- Note 2: The link I provided is READ ONLY, so the first step is to make a copy for your own use (File --> make a copy)

- Now, enter your current position. Provide the number of shares you have in A3, and your average cost basis in B3 (these cells are highlighted in yellow). Your total investment will automatically calculate in C3.

- Columns E-F are the ROI calculator. Column F tells you what the share price will need to reach in order to hit the ROI listed in Column E. Column G tells you what your total value would be at that share price.

- Columns I-K are your break-even analysis, which basically tells you what the share price would need to be for you to break even by selling X number of your shares, and what your profit would be if you sold all of them at said price. You will probably want to adjust the #s in Column I based on how many shares you currently have in your position. Columns J & K will automatically update when you do.

- Columns M-N calculate your profits at different share prices. How much money will you make if you sell when GME hits $80? What about $100, or

... keep reading on reddit ➑

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Makes the calculations simpler
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In world first, a Chinese quantum supercomputer took 200 seconds to complete a calculation that a regular supercomputer would take 2.5 billion years to complete. phys.org/news/2020-12-chi…
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Ms. Hutchison Testimony on Proposed Changes to the Poverty Line Calculation v.redd.it/un7yj8kjmj661
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I did a quick calculation for Marvelous Merchandise Resin Value per Box
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TIL saving data to an SSD, RAM, flash memory, etc. increases its weight by an extremely small amount. One calculation states that 1GB of flash memory completely filled with 1s weighs something like 729 femtograms more than the same memory filled with zeros. langa.com/index.php/2019/…
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According to my calculations, Taniks will return as a Vex mind.
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According to my calculations shes’a in big doodoo.
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STOP MAKING KIBBLE, COWS EAT LESS THAN CHICKENS and CORN > HAYGRASS (Rimworld Animal Efficiency Calculations)

TLDR at bottom.

As of 1.2.2753:

Fig 1. Basic Animal Product Efficiency (credit to Blandbl for the 1.0.2906 sheet)

^(Nut Prod / Day = Nutrition produced by the animal per day. Nut Con = Nutrition Consumed, Nut Con / Day for 60 is the Nutrition Consumed by the # of animals required to produce 60 nutrition a year.)

^(Work/Nut is the amount of pawn work necessary to produce 1 nutrition.)

^(Cobras are carnivores and thus can't survive off of plants, though their surprising efficiency was worth sharing.)

Wiki is actually pretty up-to-date for this stuff but the info is pretty difficult to use to compare animals with. That said, this graph (while totally true) doesn't translate well to in-game decisionmaking, and I kinda made it that way to help ease people into thinking about the lil' things; nutritional inefficiency with smaller animals and other sources of work like the work to milk an animal, make kibble, etc. is all necessary to get an accurate picture.

Animal AI and Inefficiency

First thing worth discussing is why / when animals eat. Herbivores get hungry when their nutrition is at 45% of their body size. Omnivores and carnivores get hungry when this number is at 30%. Once they hit this number, their next "wander" job is replaced in their mind with a job to go and eat. Animals try to eat as much as possible to fill their nutrition bar to full, up to 1 nutrition (20 units) per eating job. In addition, animals are wasteful eaters. Food consumed is rounded up but the animals don't get any value from excess consumed. This mainly results in two things: a nutritional inefficiency in many animals based on overeating and Hunger Rate being a poor indicator of how much food is actually consumed in a day. While not normally a big issue in the wild due to an abundance of food for most of the year, this is significant in a barn environment where you're footing the bill.

For example, take this simple graph of how much a chicken eats:

Fig 2. Daily Nutrition Intake of a Chicken

The chicken wakes up with <.03 nutrition, and eats 4 kibble to get a full stomach. With a body size of .18, by default the chicken has wasted .02 nutrition minimum. All the extra is just wasted.

As the day goes on, the chic

... keep reading on reddit ➑

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What if Daddy Musk bought out GME? Some implications and calculations inside.

Ok so hear me out, I’m just thinking out loud here. What if TSLA bought out GME at 420.69? TSLA can finance the deal in all-stock with a $29 billion price tag.

Why do this?

  1. TSLA would have to find some synergies with GME. Maybe use their retail locations as information centers for selling their cars.
  2. He can spin this off as a publicity move to β€œbail-out” the little guy and take a stand against blatant market manipulation. Remember, S Elon’s C.
  3. $29b is just 3.6% of TSLA market cap. That means even if it was worth nothing, it would only be a 3.6% drop in stock price after they announce that deal.
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Polka thigh calculation
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Why did old games tie physics calculations to framerate?

Or, I should say, why didn't they untie it?

A common physics calculation might be something like object.position += velocity, and this would happen every frame. The only problem is that this assumes a constant framerate. If the framerate dips, the object will move more slowly.

Modern games fix this problem by multiplying the increment by the "time since the last frame" or "delta". So the formula would be object.position += velocity * delta.

My question is: why didn't old games do this? If you play something like Mario 64 and the game lags, everything will slow down. Play any newer game and it won't have this issue (Unless it's made by someone like Bethesda).

I don't think it's because of slower hardware. One extra floating point operation per game object isn't REALLY that much, especially since these games usually had strict limits on the number of active physics objects.

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Using theoretical calculations, an international team of researchers shows that it would not be possible to control a superintelligent AI. Furthermore, the researchers demonstrate that we may not even know when superintelligent machines have arrived. mpg.de/16231640/0108-bild…
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A while ago, I posted a β€œsuicide burn” but several of you noted it wasn’t actually a suicide burn because I throttled down the engines before touchdown. So I wanted to attempt a real suicide burn from 13km, flying manually, with no mods, no calculations, on Xbox. v.redd.it/x6wcf5kg4oa61
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Blowpipe Nerf Middle Ground (Increased Scaling by Ammo Type with DPS Calculations)
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Some dps calculations for the new bp if anyone is interested.

All calculations are done using what I think most people would consider to be a standard gear setup, and you can judge for yourself if you agree with me on that.

Because it takes a while to do these, I will be periodically editing the post with new monsters. If you have anything you want to see calculations for, please comment and I'll try to get to it.

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

-- Inferno - Here I used dragon darts because that is the standard.

(I ignored bats and blobs because their total hp is so low.)

Jal-ImKot (melee) - New bp will be a 17.98% dps reduction, equating to roughly 1.25 seconds (or 1 extra hit) per kill.

Jal-Xil (ranger) - New bp will be a 16.67% dps reduction, equating to about 1.85 extra seconds per kill.

Jal-Zek (mage) - New bp will be a 21.96% dps reduction, equating to about 5.2 extra seconds per kill.

JalTok-Jad (Jad) - New bp will be a 32.89% dps reduction, equating to about 17.2 extra seconds per kill.

Jal-MejJak (zuk healers) - New bp will be a 17.52% dps reduction, equating to about 1.25 extra seconds per kill.

If you do a 3 set zuk, you will have to kill a total of 36 melees, 37 rangers, 36 mages, 4 jads (ignoring the zuk jad, since you can't bp that anyway), and 4 zuk healers. In terms of purely time lost, not including the fact that you will take more damage and potentially have to wait for extra shield cycles, you will have approximately 6 minutes and 15 seconds of extra time spent purely dpsing down monsters. In comparison, it currently takes 31 minutes total to dps down all of the listed monsters, meaning it will take just over 20% longer purely in terms of dpsing with bp (and of course not including thing like barraging nibblers, waiting for melees to dig, solving waves, and dealing with the two lower level enemies). This is obviously lower if you have a t bow.

Here are some calculations for inferno with rune darts instead. The TL:DR of it is that rune darts suffer less than dragon darts because dragon darts go from 30 max hit to 26, but rune go from 28 to 25.

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

-- Vorkath - Here I switched to rune/addy darts since dragon darts at vorkath are impractical.

With no defense reduction, the proposed bp has 31.52% less dps than the current one. This will add 22.7 seconds to each kill on average (not including interactions with vorkath's special attacks).

With 1 dwh spec, the new bp will have 25.12% less

... keep reading on reddit ➑

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Makes calculations a tad bit easier
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Cutting a tree without any calculations! v.redd.it/ay9gb3rztuy51
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Ooooops! Bad calculations v.redd.it/7atvit9w16061
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Impossible, my calculations were wrong?
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So guys, according to my calculations, deluxe coming 2035 πŸ”₯
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GM Daniel Naroditsky miscalculates a mate, but in doing so reveals the incredible extent of his calculations v.redd.it/aiwmoh0cvw761
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Here it is: the crucial table showing Germany's calculations on the AstraZeneca vaccine's efficacy in over-65s. For over-65s there was only one infection in the treatment group and one in the placebo group - 6.3% efficacy, 95% CI -1405-94.2% twitter.com/olivernmoody/…
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TIL the rocket in Jules Verne’s 1865 story From the Earth to the Moon launched from Florida and landed in the Pacific Ocean because of Verne’s calculations. In 1969, Apollo 11 took off from Florida and landed in the Pacific Ocean. io9.gizmodo.com/how-jules…
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An Answer to the Economic Calculation Problem

Recently, I listened to a debate between David Friedman and two Ancoms. While giving his twenty minute talk, David Friedman posed the challenge of economic calculation within a socialist society, to which the ancoms answered, Swarm.

Swarm is a technology which gathers data to make future predictions. For example, it was able to predict winners of the Kentucky derby, or it has even been able to out predict experts as to who will receive a grammy award. In theory, this sort of technology could be used to collect information about the market, such that a centralized planner can determine the wants of consumers, and how to organize resources to achieve satisfying those wants.

I would be interested to see how you guys answer this objection.

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[Guide] TOTY DEF calculations
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My calculator only has enough power left to do one calculation

I really have to make it count

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Calculations Show Humans Can't Contain Superintelligent Machines - Well, we had a pretty good run. popularmechanics.com/tech…
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This is why you shouldn't take power calculations too seriously.
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Tooltip calculation sucks. Sometimes even PoB has limits. 99% of "does x work with y?" questions could be solved by providing us a target dummy with damage display.

pls add :)

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CN calculations show Ganyu is by far the strongest dps character in the game (nearly twice as strong as Diluc)...
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What Back-of-the-Napkin Calculation Should Everyone Learn How To Use?

What are some of the most powerful and useful but easy calculations more people should learn how to use?

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Turn 4 Tibalt possible in 22% of games with Jund Midrange: calculations and deck tech

We're no longer in the realm of Magical Christmas Land. (Maybe Magical Yuletide Land, cuz Kaldheim). Unless an emergency errata, rules change, or ban comes our way, turn 4 Tibalt, Cosmic Imposter is something that your deck will need to prepare an answer for.

To clarify, we're not talking about Turbo Tibalt where we warp our whole deck around cascade cards with no other 1-2 CMC cards like a new Living End variant. We're talking about a 2021 powercreeped revamp of good ole classic Jund Midrange, which suddenly has a 22% chance (hypothetically at least) of dumping out 10 mana worth of cards on turn 4. Who's the Tron deck now?

First, let me introduce a sample brew that I'll be running my calculations through. It also has a deck tech with information about how the combo works for the uninitiated, as well as more detail on my card choices (like why I'm running Magmatic Channeler over Tarmogoyf): Jund Tibalt Midrange

Second, let me introduce you to the Hypergeometric Calculator. This is how you can calculate for all things statistical in Magic or other card games. (I know you always wondered about the chances of opening Exodia. Hint: (40, 5, 5, 5)). My calculations after each item will follow the format of the four fields descending (Population size, Number of successes in population, Sample Size, Number of successes in sample) and will use the last cumulative probability of P (X>=x) in each case, since we only need at least one of each card in question. So onto the math; you can skip to the following section if you aren't interested in the calculations.

***************

To get it out of the way, the simplest calculation is the chance of cascading Bloodbraid Elf into Tibalt with zero setup. There are 32 possible cascade results, and 4 of them are Valki/Tibalt. So that's a 4/32 = 1/8 chance of lucksacking into Tibalt.

Another consideration (I went into further detail in my deck tech, see my first link) is that if you have a Valki in hand, getting it into the grave for the Witch's Cottage setup is so trivial that I'm considering it 100%. We literally only play two spells (both Kroxas) in our deck that are unable to put Valki in our grave, not to mention that our opponents will do us the favor most of the time.

The last note I'll make is that proper land sequencing with this deck means playing your shocks

... keep reading on reddit ➑

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Introducing: Gregicality(tm) Tier 16(I think) Supracausal Circuits. It literally breaks logic and uses WORMHOLES and SCIENCE-Y STUFF to do calculations.
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I did some basic dps calculations for most of the weapons in the game, enjoy.

Dps (Non critical)

Ars:

Mx4: Base 361–TFB(task force barrel) 385.06

Ak47: Base 380-TFB 410

Krig 6: Base 380.33-TFB 402.06

Qbz: Base 364.2-TFB 385.9

Ffar: Base 409- TFB 424.2

Groza: Base 425- TFB 450

Smgs:

Mp5: Base 457.06– TFB 485.63

Milano: Base 403– TFB 422.40

Ak 74u: Base 441.43–TFB 476.28

Ksp 45: Base 601.66–TFB 637.77

Bullfrog: Base 425–TFB 437.5

Mac 10: Base 499.95–TFB 518.46

DMR

Type 63: Base 409.1–Strike team 493- TFB 445.23

M16: Base 757.5– Strike team 982.3- TFB 863.55

Aug: Base 728.45- Strike team 983.12–TFB 799.86

Dmr 14: Base 386.66 - ST 541.2 β€”TFB 480

Lmgs:

Stoner: Base 505.4– TFB 553.53

RPD: Base 412.93– TFB 434.66

M60: Base 430– TFB 465.3

Shotguns

Hauer: Base 174.9– TFB 2,200 wtf

Gallo: Base 371.7–TFB 548.1

Assweapers: Base 670β€”TFB 1,150 sounds good on paper but not good in reality

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Hu Tao Hp% calculations (Repost from discord)
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Because i'm too lazy to do the calculations when I first start researching the tank.
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Here it is: the crucial table showing Germany's calculations on the AstraZeneca vaccine's efficacy in over-65s. For over-65s there was only one infection in the treatment group and one in the placebo group - 6.3% efficacy, 95% CI -1405-94.2% twitter.com/olivernmoody/…
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ive put more effort in calculation in this game than in all my years of math tbh
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Calculation_irl
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I'm tired of playing this game with mathematical calculations v.redd.it/977adax4e7961
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Shark Fact: It's said the Shork Brain is able to do up to 1000 calculations per second
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Back of the napkin admissions calculations. I suck at math. Does this check out?

I can only count $GME tendies. Help me out with real math.

Total applicants: 66,000

Non auto applicants: 29,800 (revised from 29,000)

OOS applicants: 26,000

Estimated admitted students (including TX/OOS/International): 17,000-18,000

Estimated Texas Residents admissions spaces: 14,500 - 15,000

Top 6% applicants guaranteed admission: 11,000

Non-auto admit offers: 3,800-4,000

OOS/International admit offers: 2,000 (OOS/International yield rate is lower)

Total enrolling class: 8,500

Spaces for Texas residents: 7,650

Spaces for auto admits: 5740

Spaces for non auto admits: 1910

Spaces for OOS/International: 850

Estimated Yield rate = 45-50%

University wide admissions rate: 25-27%

Non auto admissions rate: 12-13%

OOS admissions rate: 7.7%

Edit: I see where I went wrong. I forgot to double the number of projected non top 6% enrollment. 13% admit rate for non auto admits is correct.

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πŸ‘€︎ u/BlueLightSpcl
πŸ“…︎ Jan 26 2021
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I did some calculations on the buy GME retard we sent to the moon

As we all know the fellow retard who recommended we buy GME instead of wasting money on reddit awards and we proceeded to bombard in true WSB style.

I added up all the individual awards and the costs as of the time starting there was 4990 awards.

Turns out a total of 2,411,187 coins had been spent on awards, this equates to $7670.49 at the standard reddit price of €214.99 for 82000 coins. (converted to dollars using current rate)

This could have been 407.1 shares of GME or 325.7 shares of Pltr at current prices.

Edit-updated to dollars from euros for the simpletons

I'm glad I was part of this special moment.

Congratulations retards, this is de way πŸš€πŸš€πŸš€

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πŸ‘€︎ u/CamR111
πŸ“…︎ Jan 01 2021
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Hey again! My physics class is more focused around calculations than concepts so I end up asking many question, sorry guys. The potential difference is measured in J/C Does that mean that it is a measurement of how much energy the source of voltage can give to a charged particle of 1 C?

Or is it a measurement of how much energy the source of voltage can provide per each colomb of its overall charge?

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πŸ‘€︎ u/Mrk11A
πŸ“…︎ Jan 22 2021
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theory vs calculation

One odd (to me) fact encountered in calculus/analysis is that more functions can be integrated than differentiated and yet derivatives seem to be easier to find. I don’t know this for sure, but I’m inclined to think more functions have a closed form derivative than integral. Also, I haven’t done much numerical analysis, but I think even there derivatives were a bit easier to handle.

Do others agree with the general sentiment here, and, if so, is there an intuitive way to think about this? Any thoughts are appreciated.

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πŸ“…︎ Jan 29 2021
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[El Mundo] BarΓ§a overpaid Neymar €10.2M because of a tax miscalculation and now want the money returned. The club made a significant calculation in paying Neymar when he was at BarΓ§a and now want to address the error. twitter.com/elmundoes/sta…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/Surprise147
πŸ“…︎ Nov 11 2020
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Zhong Li buff calculations post 1.3 (87.4% gain to Auto Attacks)

Updated with some calculations I just ran myself with the DPS calculator I found here

https://www.reddit.com/r/Genshin_Impact/comments/kiio59/analysis_for_13_zhongli_buffs_dps_or_hp_support/

This is based on the stats from what I consider a "standard" Zhong Li DPS build

Level 80

20,000 HP

60%crit 120% crit dmg

1800 atk

100% phys dmg

Level 6 Normal Attack Talent

On AVG there is a 23% increase in Normal attacks with just the HP buff.

If you add in the new Resistance Shred it is an AVG of 44% increase in Normal attacks.

Add in other buffs and Crescent Pike damage and the overall dps increase should be "considerable."

Fact of the matter is overall Zhong Li would probably be better off as a support/burst dps unit. Assuming the buffs work out like how I'm expecting he's probably low S tier support in a lot of comps. Especially against boss encounters where it's just 1 mob (like the new Geo dragon). In Abyss levels where it's only 2-3 units he's also very good.

For those that want to run him as Main Carry (myself included) I think he'll still be high A tier and maybe very low S tier.

https://preview.redd.it/atp9kjsuokd61.png?width=2464&format=png&auto=webp&s=565e8b6bd9b561bf8fdffe62c277b8a2f5a24be4

Original Post

Just saw the newest video by Krush SG

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luUKqtc0MqM

He's normally really good with this analysis and calculations so I'd assume his numbers to be accurate to what we are going to see post 1.3.

87.4% damage gain to AA

10k hp shield with ATK build and 15k hp with HP build.

Seems quite good to me but we'll see how that translate to actual gameplay next week.

https://preview.redd.it/ctctk2vo4kd61.jpg?width=1883&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=96ab1c3f5e635896b197b54a34c5caf54b650033

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πŸ‘€︎ u/FriedyRicey
πŸ“…︎ Jan 25 2021
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Did some calculations on church membership for y'all

I use this website for data, so this is all straight from the church. I assume that each congregation has around 130 active members, averaging between the low amounts in branches and the higher amounts in wards. And even if nobody sees this, I had fun doing it :)

Edit: total membership, congregations, and number of temples per continent are data from the website. All the other figures are my calculations. Members per congregation=total membership/congregations; congregations based on number of members=total membership/130; active members=congregations*130; activity rate=my active members number/total membership; number of members per temple=total membership/number of temples.

Worldwide

Total membership: 16,565,036

Congregations: 30,940

Members per congregation: 535

How many congregations there should be based on the number of members: 127,423

How many active members there are based on the number of congregations: 4,022,200

Activity rate: 24.28%

Number of members per temple: 99,192

North America

Total membership: 9,419,307

Congregations: 18,256

Members per congregation: 516

How many congregations there should be based on the number of members: 72,456

How many active members there are based on the number of congregations: 2,373,280

Activity rate: 25.20%

Number of members per temple: 85,630

South America

Total membership: 4,178,375

Congregations: 5,570

Members per congregation: 750

How many congregations there should be based on the number of members: 32,141

How many active members there are based on the number of congregations: 724,100

Activity rate: 17.33%

Number of members per temple: 198,970

Europe

Total membership: 497,436

Congregations: 1,374

Members per congregation: 362

How many congregations there should be based on the number of members: 3,826

How many active members there are based on the number of congregations: 178,620

Activity rate: 35.91%

Number of members per temple: 31,245

Asia

Total membership: 1,230,515

Congregations: 2,130

Members per congregation: 578

How many congregations there should be based on the number of members: 9,466

How many active members there are based on the number of congregations: 276,900

Activity rate: 22.50%

Number of members per temple: 153,814

Oceania

Total membership: 572,895

Congregations: 1,283

Members per congregation: 447

How many congregations there should be based on the numbe

... keep reading on reddit ➑

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πŸ‘€︎ u/single-left-sock
πŸ“…︎ Dec 17 2020
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Spreadsheet to calculate GME Exit Strategy, ROI Calculations & Breakeven Analysis

PLEASE DROP AN UPVOTE AND/OR COMMENT IF YOU USE. IT TOOK ME A FEW HOURS TO MAKE THIS SPREADSHEET AND I WOULD LIKE TO HELP AS MANY PEOPLE AS POSSIBLE. I SEE A LOT OF PEOPLE OPENING AND DUPLICATING THE SHEET, PLEASE HELP PAY IT FORWARD.

Disclaimer: I originally created this tool for WSB, but it looks like I am muted there for some reason, so I figured I would share on some other subs where people are also talking about GME.

This whole experience has been (and will be) a crazy trip, but you don't want to be the one caught holding the bag when it eventually comes crashing down to earth. HAVE AN EXIT STRATEGY. Everyone has different levels of expendable capital and risk tolerance. Some of us can afford to YOLO away six-figure investments, while others would be more than happy to simply turn a few hundred dollars into a grand.

Your exit strategy should depend on how much money you are comfortable losing, and how much profits you would be happy taking. I'm not here to tell you what your strategy should be, but I did make a tool so you can figure it out for yourself: Exit Strategy Calculator (Google Sheet)

HOW TO USE THE EXIT STRATEGY PLANNER

- Note 1: This is for shares only. I'm not smart enough to make this work for options.

- Note 2: The link I provided is READ ONLY, so the first step is to make a copy for your own use (File --> make a copy)

- Now, enter your current position. Provide the number of shares you have in A3, and your average cost basis in B3 (these cells are highlighted in yellow). Your total investment will automatically calculate in C3.

- Columns E-F are the ROI calculator. Column F tells you what the share price will need to reach in order to hit the ROI listed in Column E. Column G tells you what your total value would be at that share price.

- Columns I-K are your break-even analysis, which basically tells you what the share price would need to be for you to break even by selling X number of your shares, and what your profit would be if you sold all of them at said price. You will probably want to adjust the #s in Column I based on how many shares you currently have in your position. Columns J & K will automatically update when you do.

- Columns M-N calculate your profits at different share prices. How much money will you make if you sell when GME hits $80? What about $100, or $

... keep reading on reddit ➑

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πŸ‘€︎ u/pokejock
πŸ“…︎ Jan 24 2021
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